With that said here is a brief summary of who could win and why?
- Donald Trump – With the Brexit vote, the world is demonstrating they are fed up with politics as is.If Trump can keep to his platform and not stray and not create doubting news, he has a really strong chance to win and clobber Hillary. However, he is his own worst enemy. Trump is strong economically and strong domestically, he can talk to the common person and can get jobs created and start to turn around the recovery which has taken a long time to recover. He will also fix the trade deals and relater our export import positions. However, he can stray and offend people and if he does this he might lose.
- Hillary Clinton – She has been proven she is a liar, it has been proven she only has her interests at heart, but there was not enough evidence that she did these things with criminal intent so she was not charged. Hillary could win, because Donald Trump probably will beat himself. As long as Trump does not self-destruct, a big if, Hillary will be clobbered, no matter what the polls say, but I she wins Trump will have destructed and the media will have continued their democratic leaning practices, like showing an electoral map, with Obama’s number from 2012, only with her name, sending the message she is already the president. National Polls are a joke, as they question 500 or 1,000 people in limited geographic areas but not really representative of the US, but the poll numbers make people think they are thinking wrong.
- Jill Stein and Gary Johnson – They do not have a chance, but they can be spoilers (see below)
- Scenario 1: Trump wins 325 to 232 over Hillary Clinton and takes New York, PA, Wisconsin, Ohio, and Florida along with several other traditionally red states. Trump might lose North Carolina and Arkansas but he will pick up other states.
- Scenario 2:I feel this is the most likely scenario. Sanders Supporters in New Hampshire, Vermont, Oregon, and Washington and even possibly California, and maybe Idaho overwhelmingly vote against Clinton and vote for Jill Stein. New Mexico, Utah, Texas, and one or two states in the South go for Gary Johnson. The rest of the states are split among Clinton and Trump, with Trump taking the rustbelt and the Northeast and Clinton taking the South and Midwest. The result of all this is no one gets enough electoral college votes to win, the number is 278.Thus, the decision of the President goes to the Speaker of the House and the house of Representatives. Expect someone different at that point as a simple majority is needed and many Republicans will not vote for Trump, but they will not want to give it to Hillary so there will be a new candidate introduced.